Revised 2/24 Notes: --I?m not buying the talk about a QB going first overall at all. In fact, I?m not buying that this group of QBs is going to litter the upper reaches of the draft as in most years, and the slotting in this one reflects that notion. --When I talk to scouts on teams regarding wide receivers, they want three qualities: speed, great hands, and nimble feet in that order. That?s good news for some, very bad news for others, and that plays out here. --I?m doing some digging on the impact of injuries that force players to miss the Combine workouts, and there are two distinct trends: offensive skill position players fall at least 50% of their projected draft spots (i.e. a player projected at #40 falls to at least #60) outside of potential top 5 picks, while guys in the trenches seldom fall more than a handful. There are variables regarding type and severity or injuries, with the general rule of thumb being the lower on the body, the more it hurts the draft stock. It?s not ironclad but thus far I?ve gone back 5 years and have nearly 50 samples, so it?s not without some statistical merit either. This is very bad news for Demaryius Thomas, Eric Decker, Jahvid Best, Dan Lefevour, and perhaps even Jimmy Clausen. --The deeper into the draft, the more you should focus on the player and slot than the team picking in that slot. I expect a very heavy trade market in this draft beyond the top 8-10 picks (which nobody wants to trade up into and get hit with the last giant rookie contract bill!), particularly from picks 45-80 and then again at the top of each subsequent round. --There are instances where I have a team doubling up on a position even in the first three rounds. Before you get all uppity, keep this in mind: in the last 4 drafts, 30 of the 32 teams have taken multiple players at one position in the same draft class. The Colts, Eagles and Patriots do it with shocking regularity and they are three of the most successful franchises in the league. --As always, please do not mistake the selections here for the selections I would make in the same situations. Sometimes they mesh, often they don?t. This is my best educated guess as to what the teams will do. Teams don?t even have their draft boards or positional rankings finalized yet, so no matter what anyone tells you remember that all mock drafts are pure speculation at this point. If you want to know how I wear my GM hat, I post an annual ?What I Would Do? mock draft the week after the Combine. Round 1 1. St. Louis Rams: Ndamukong Suh, DT, Nebraska 2. Detroit Lions: Gerald McCoy, DT, Oklahoma 3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Derrick Morgan, DE, Georgia Tech 4. Washington Redskins: Sam Bradford, QB, Oklahoma 5. Kansas City Chiefs: Russell Okung, T, Oklahoma State 6. Seattle Seahawks: Anthony Davis, T, Rutgers 7. Cleveland Browns: Joe Haden, CB, Florida 8. Oakland Raiders: Jason Pierre-Paul, DE, South Florida 9. Buffalo Bills: Eric Berry, S, Tennessee 10. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brandon Graham, DE, Michigan 11. Denver Broncos (from CHI): Dez Bryant, WR, Oklahoma State 12. Miami Dolphins: C.J. Spiller, RB, Clemson 13. San Francisco 49ers: Bryan Bulaga, T, Iowa 14. Seattle Seahawks (from DEN): Jimmy Clausen, QB, Notre Dame 15. New York Giants: Rolando McClain, LB, Alabama 16. Tennessee Titans: Carlos Dunlap, DE, Florida 17. San Francisco 49ers (from CAR): Brian Price, DT, UCLA 18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Dan Williams, DT, Tennessee 19. Atlanta Falcons: Mike Iupati, G, Idaho 20. Houston Texans: Jonathan Dwyer, RB, Georgia Tech 21. Cincinnati Bengals: Arrelious Benn, WR, Illinois 22. New England Patriots: Sergio Kindle, LB, Texas 23. Green Bay Packers: Earl Thomas, S/CB, Texas 24. Philadelphia Eagles: Sean Weatherspoon, LB, Missouri 25. Baltimore Ravens: Aaron Hernandez, TE, Florida 26. Arizona Cardinals: Bruce Campbell, T, Maryland 27. Dallas Cowboys: Jared Odrick, DL, Penn State 28. San Diego Chargers: Ryan Mathews, RB, Fresno State 29. New York Jets: Ricky Sapp, LB, Clemson 30. Minnesota Vikings: Tony Pike, QB, Cincinnati 31. Indianapolis Colts: Rodger Saffold, T, Indiana 32. New Orleans Saints: Everson Griffen, DE, USC Round 2 33. St. Louis Rams: Colt McCoy, QB, Texas 34. Detroit Lions: Kyle Wilson, CB, Boise State 35. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Golden Tate, WR, Notre Dame 36. Washington Redskins: Vlad Ducasse, G, UMass 37. Kansas City Chiefs: Rob Gronkowski, TE, Arizona 38. Seattle Seahawks: Maurkice Pouncey, C, Florida 39. Cleveland Browns: Corey Wootton, DE, Northwestern 40. Oakland Raiders: Trent Williams, T, Texas 41. Buffalo Bills: Tyson Alualu, DE, California 42. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (from CHI): Chad Jones, S, LSU 43. Miami Dolphins: Brandon Spikes, LB, Florida 44. New England Patriots (from JAX): Donovan Warren, CB, Michigan 45. Denver Broncos: Jason Worilds, OLB, Virginia Tech 46. New York Giants: Navorro Bowman, LB, Penn State 47. New England Patriots (from TEN): Tim Tebow, QB, Florida 48. Carolina Panthers: Demaryius Thomas, WR, Georgia Tech 49. San Francisco 49ers: Taylor Mays, S, USC 50. Kansas City Chiefs (from ATL): Jerry Hughes, OLB, TCU 51. Houston Texans: Dominique Franks, CB, Oklahoma 52. Pittsburgh Steelers: Patrick Robinson, CB, Florida State 53. Cincinnati Bengals: Arthur Jones, DT, Syracuse 54. New England Patriots: Terrence Cody, NT, Alabama 55. Green Bay Packers: Jared Veldheer, T, Hillsdale 56. Philadelphia Eagles: Jahvid Best, RB, California 57. Baltimore Ravens: Thaddeus Gibson, OLB/DE, Ohio State 58. Arizona Cardinals: Devin McCourty, CB, Rutgers 59. Dallas Cowboys: Donald Butler, LB, Washington 60. San Diego Chargers: D?Anthony Smith, DT, Louisiana Tech 61. New York Jets: Mardy Gilyard, WR, Cincinnati 62. Minnesota Vikings: Kendrick Lewis, S, Ole Miss 63. Indianapolis Colts: Alex Carrington, DE, Arkansas State 64. New Orleans Saints: Nate Allen, S, South Florida Round 3 65. St. Louis Rams: Dezmon Briscoe, WR, Kansas 66. Detroit Lions: Dexter McCluster, WR/RB, Ole Miss 67. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Perrish Cox, CB, Oklahoma State 68. Washington Redskins: used in supplemental draft 69. Oakland Raiders: Jarrett Brown, QB, West Virginia 70. Kansas City Chiefs: Jermaine Cunningham, LB, Florida 71. Philadelphia Eagles (from SEA): Jermaine Gresham, TE, Oklahoma 72. Cleveland Browns: Daryl Washington, LB, TCU 73. Buffalo Bills: Dan Lefevour, QB, Central Michigan 74. Miami Dolphins: Cam Thomas, DT, North Carolina 75. Jacksonville Jaguars: Austen Lane, DE, Murray State 76. Chicago Bears: John Jerry, G/T, Ole Miss 77. New York Giants: Jeromey Miles, S, UMass 78. Tennessee Titans: Brandon LaFell, WR, LSU 79. Carolina Panthers: Geno Atkins, DT, Georgia 80. San Francisco 49ers: Chris Cook, CB, Virginia 81. Denver Broncos: Amari Speivey, CB, Iowa 82. Houston Texans: Matt Tennant, C, Boston College 83. Pittsburgh Steelers: Jimmy Graham, TE, Miami FL 84. Atlanta Falcons: Jeff Owens, DT, Georgia 85. Cincinnati Bengals: Morgan Burnett, S, Georgia Tech 86. Oakland Raiders (from NE): Carlton Mitchell, WR, South Florida 87. Green Bay Packers: Dekoda Watson, LB, Florida State 88. Philadelphia Eagles: Larry Asante, S, Nebraska 89. Baltimore Ravens: Mike Williams, WR, Syracuse 90. Arizona Cardinals: Micah Johnson, LB, Kentucky 91. San Diego Chargers: Tony Moeaki, TE, Iowa 92. Dallas Cowboys: Jeff Byers, G/C, USC 93. Cleveland Browns (from NYJ): Anthony Dixon, RB, Mississippi State 94. Minnesota Vikings: Jon Asamoah, G, Illinois 95. Indianapolis Colts: Sean Lee, LB, Penn State 96. New Orleans Saints: Rennie Curran, LB, Georgia Round 4 97. St. Louis Rams: Selvish Capers, T, West Virginia 98. Detroit Lions: Pat Angerer, LB, Iowa 99. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Lamarr Houston, DT, Texas 100. Washington Redskins: Toby Gerhart, RB, Stanford 101. Kansas City Chiefs: Koa Misi, LB, Utah 102. Seattle Seahawks: Jerome Murphy, CB, South Florida 103. Cleveland Browns: Charles Brown, T, USC 104. Oakland Raiders: Kareem Jackson, CB, Alabama 105. Buffalo Bills: C.J. Wilson, DE, East Carolina 106. Jacksonville Jaguars: Myron Lewis, CB, Vanderbilt 107. Chicago Bears: Major Wright, S, Florida 108. Miami Dolphins: Anthony McCoy, TE, USC 109. Tennessee Titans: Mike Neal, DT, Purdue 110. Carolina Panthers: Jonathan Crompton, QB, Tennessee 111. San Francisco 49ers: Joe McKnight, RB, USC 112. Denver Broncos: Hall Davis, DE, Louisiana Lafayette 113. New York Giants: T.J. Ward, S, Oregon 114. Pittsburgh Steelers: Ed Wang, T, Virginia Tech 115. Atlanta Falcons: Myron Rolle, S, Florida State 116. Houston Texans: Devin Ross, CB, Arizona 117. Cincinnati Bengals: Andre Roberts, WR, The Citadel 118. New England Patriots: Linval Joseph, DT, East Carolina 119. Green Bay Packers: Jason Fox, T, Miami FL 120. Philadelphia Eagles: Clifton Geathers, DE, South Carolina 121. Baltimore Ravens: Eric Decker, WR, Minnesota 122. Arizona Cardinals: Ryan Perriloux, QB, Jacksonville State 123. Dallas Cowboys: Brandon Ghee, CB, Wake Forest 124. San Diego Chargers: Akwasi Owusu-Ansah, CB, Indiana PA 125. New York Jets: Damian Williams, WR, USC 126. Minnesota Vikings: Eric Norwood, LB, South Carolina 127. Indianapolis Colts: J.D. Walton, C, Baylor 128. New Orleans Saints: E.J. Wilson, DE, North Carolina Next update comes after the Combine and draft spot coin flips.